worldwebfx Join free

Confirm it is you

Gold analysis · updated every 15 minutes

Gold (XAUUSD) analysis: from the monthly chart to the next hour

News first, then the trend from monthly down to 30 minutes, then a 5-minute projection for the next hour. Built automatically by fixed rules and checked against real prices afterwards.

XAUUSD$4,164.90Live
Updated 19:15 UTC · next update 19:30 UTC (in 2 min)
Overall biasNeutral12% confidence

The higher timeframes (monthly and weekly) are Bearish, the 4-hour and 1-hour are Neutral, the 30-minute is Neutral, and the news flow is Neutral. 4 of 5 timeframes agree with it.

  • 1MNeutral
  • 1WBearish
  • 4HNeutral
  • 1HNeutral
  • 30mNeutral
  • NewsNeutral

Sideways next hour: 4,157.2 – 4,168.6

1. News analysis

News flow for gold: Neutral. 8 relevant headlines in the last 24 hours: 4 positive and 4 negative for gold.

Latest headlines and what they usually mean for gold

Headlines: investingLive, FX Empire, Yahoo Finance (links open the original article). Calendar: ForexFactory. Each headline is judged by fixed keyword rules, not by a person.

2. Top-down analysis: monthly to 30 minutes

The higher timeframes give the direction, the lower ones the timing. Each one is checked on its own.

Monthly 1M

Neutral
2,0002024-022025-012025-11PH 4,538.9PL 4,123.54,164.9
  • No clean trend: price and the 10 / 20 EMAs are not lined up.
  • Structure: lower highs and lower lows (last swing high 4,735.4, swing low 3,935.8).
  • RSI 58: momentum favours buyers.
  • Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 3,879.6 – 3,916.1: a possible support zone.
  • Previous month: high 4,538.9, low 4,123.5.
  • Nearest resistance 4,378.4 / 4,735.4 · nearest support 4,080.4 / 3,935.8.
  • Average candle range (ATR 14): 430.3.

Weekly 1W

Bearish
4,0004,5005,0005,50011-2403-0906-22PH 4,214.1PL 4,071.64,164.9
  • Downtrend: price is below the falling 10 EMA, which is below the 20 EMA.
  • Structure: lower highs and lower lows (last swing high 4,735.4, swing low 3,935.8).
  • RSI 43: momentum favours sellers.
  • Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 3,805.0 – 3,889.3: a possible support zone.
  • Unfilled bearish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,214.1 – 4,258.7: a possible resistance zone.
  • Previous week: high 4,214.1, low 4,071.6.
  • Nearest resistance 4,378.4 / 4,564.4 · nearest support 4,080.4 / 3,935.8.
  • Average candle range (ATR 14): 216.6.

4 hours 4H

Neutral
4,1004,1504,20010-1310-1410-15PH 4,199.5PL 4,156.24,164.9
  • Limited data: only 19 candles recorded so far, so read this timeframe with care.
  • Break of structure up: a close above the swing high at 4,162.3.
  • RSI 49: momentum is neutral.
  • Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,111.5 – 4,133.2: a possible support zone.
  • Unfilled bearish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,170.0 – 4,172.9: a possible resistance zone.
  • Previous 4H candle: high 4,199.5, low 4,156.2.
  • Nearest resistance 4,170.8 · nearest support 4,075.1.
  • Average candle range (ATR 14): 26.8.

1 hour 1H

Neutral
4,1004,1504,20010-14 03:0010-15 00:0010-15 21:00PH 4,167.7PL 4,157.24,164.9
  • No clean trend: price and the 20 / 50 EMAs are not lined up.
  • Structure is mixed (last swing high 4,199.5, swing low 4,156.2).
  • RSI 48: momentum is neutral.
  • Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,110.8 – 4,139.7: a possible support zone.
  • Unfilled bearish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,168.6 – 4,170.2: a possible resistance zone.
  • Previous 1H candle: high 4,167.7, low 4,157.2.
  • Nearest resistance 4,167.0 / 4,167.7 · nearest support 4,156.2 / 4,148.9.
  • Average candle range (ATR 14): 12.5.

30 minutes 30m

Neutral
4,1404,1804,20010-15 07:0010-15 19:0010-16 07:00PH 4,161.5PL 4,157.24,164.9
  • No clean trend: price and the 20 / 50 EMAs are not lined up.
  • Structure is mixed (last swing high 4,168.6, swing low 4,158.2).
  • Liquidity sweep: price ran below the low at 4,158.2 and closed back above it, a possible turn up.
  • RSI 46: momentum is neutral.
  • Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,155.1 – 4,162.7: a possible support zone.
  • Unfilled bearish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,167.0 – 4,170.2: a possible resistance zone.
  • Previous 30m candle: high 4,161.5, low 4,157.2.
  • Nearest resistance 4,167.0 / 4,167.7 · nearest support 4,158.8 / 4,158.2.
  • Average candle range (ATR 14): 8.9.

EMA fast EMA slow previous candle high / low FVG

3. 5-minute projection: the next 60 minutes

Built from the 5m, 30m and 1H picture plus the news. It is a likely scenario, not a promise: always wait for confirmation and protect your account.

4,1604,1804,20013:5015:3517:20H 4,168.6L 4,157.24,164.9
Direction
Sideways
Range
4,157.2 – 4,168.6

No clear direction for the next hour: a range between 4,157.2 and 4,168.6 is more likely. A 5-minute close outside it would start the next move.

  • No clean trend: price and the 20 / 50 EMAs are not lined up.
  • Structure: lower highs and lower lows (last swing high 4,161.5, swing low 4,157.2).
  • Break of structure up: a close above the swing high at 4,161.5.
  • RSI 55: momentum is neutral.
  • Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,161.9 – 4,163.2: a possible support zone.
  • Unfilled bearish fair value gap (FVG) at 4,168.6 – 4,170.2: a possible resistance zone.
  • Previous 5m candle: high 4,162.8, low 4,160.6.
  • Nearest resistance 4,165.3 / 4,165.8 · nearest support 4,164.6 / 4,163.8.
  • Average candle range (ATR 14): 2.3.

Track record (last 7 days)

Of 77 up/down projections, 37 reached Target 1 first (48%), 38 hit the invalidation first and 2 reached neither within 60 minutes. Sideways projections: 6 of 24 stayed inside the range.

How this analysis is made
  • Prices: XAUUSD spot from a reliable market data feed, recorded by worldwebfx on its own server about every minute. Daily history is adjusted to the spot price.
  • Every timeframe gets the same checks: trend (EMA), market structure (swing highs and lows), break of structure, liquidity sweeps, fair value gaps, RSI 14 and ATR 14.
  • Each check adds or removes points. The overall bias is a weighted vote: weekly and 4H count most, then 1H, monthly and 30m, plus the news.
  • News: recent headlines are read by fixed keyword rules (for example a weaker dollar or lower yields count as positive for gold), together with the high-impact US calendar.
  • The 5-minute projection combines the 5m, 30m and 1H picture with the news. One hour later it is checked against real prices, and the result is added to the track record above.
  • Everything is rebuilt automatically every 15 minutes. Times are in UTC. Broker prices can differ slightly from these.

Our own price recording covers 3 days so far. The 4-hour and 1-hour views get more history every day.

This page is generated automatically by fixed rules. It is education, not investment advice or a trading signal. Projections are often wrong (see the track record). Trading gold carries a high risk of losing money: make your own decisions and manage your risk.