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Gold analysis · updated every 15 minutes
Gold (XAUUSD) analysis: from the monthly chart to the next hour
News first, then the trend from monthly down to 30 minutes, then a 5-minute projection for the next hour. Built automatically by fixed rules and checked against real prices afterwards.
XAUUSD$4,164.90Live
Updated 19:15 UTC · next update 19:30 UTC (in 2 min)
Overall biasNeutral12% confidence
Bearish
Bullish
The higher timeframes (monthly and weekly) are Bearish, the 4-hour and 1-hour are Neutral, the 30-minute is Neutral, and the news flow is Neutral. 4 of 5 timeframes agree with it.
1MNeutral
1WBearish
4HNeutral
1HNeutral
30mNeutral
NewsNeutral
Sideways next hour: 4,157.2 – 4,168.6
1. News analysis
News flow for gold: Neutral. 8 relevant headlines in the last 24 hours: 4 positive and 4 negative for gold.
Latest headlines and what they usually mean for gold
Headlines: investingLive, FX Empire, Yahoo Finance (links open the original article). Calendar: ForexFactory. Each headline is judged by fixed keyword rules, not by a person.
2. Top-down analysis: monthly to 30 minutes
The higher timeframes give the direction, the lower ones the timing. Each one is checked on its own.
Monthly 1M
Neutral
No clean trend: price and the 10 / 20 EMAs are not lined up.
Structure: lower highs and lower lows (last swing high 4,735.4, swing low 3,935.8).
RSI 58: momentum favours buyers.
Unfilled bullish fair value gap (FVG) at 3,879.6 – 3,916.1: a possible support zone.
Of 77 up/down projections, 37 reached Target 1 first (48%), 38 hit the invalidation first and 2 reached neither within 60 minutes. Sideways projections: 6 of 24 stayed inside the range.
How this analysis is made
Prices: XAUUSD spot from a reliable market data feed, recorded by worldwebfx on its own server about every minute. Daily history is adjusted to the spot price.
Every timeframe gets the same checks: trend (EMA), market structure (swing highs and lows), break of structure, liquidity sweeps, fair value gaps, RSI 14 and ATR 14.
Each check adds or removes points. The overall bias is a weighted vote: weekly and 4H count most, then 1H, monthly and 30m, plus the news.
News: recent headlines are read by fixed keyword rules (for example a weaker dollar or lower yields count as positive for gold), together with the high-impact US calendar.
The 5-minute projection combines the 5m, 30m and 1H picture with the news. One hour later it is checked against real prices, and the result is added to the track record above.
Everything is rebuilt automatically every 15 minutes. Times are in UTC. Broker prices can differ slightly from these.
Our own price recording covers 3 days so far. The 4-hour and 1-hour views get more history every day.
This page is generated automatically by fixed rules. It is education, not investment advice or a trading signal. Projections are often wrong (see the track record). Trading gold carries a high risk of losing money: make your own decisions and manage your risk.